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Frost & Sullivan Analyzes the Global Economic Impact of Trade Wars in 2019
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"US-China trade wars are negatively impacting export-reliant economies such as and ," said . "There are other indirect trade war effects that can be anticipated, such as weaker global crude oil demand and downside pressures on Asian economies that supply raw materials and components to China ."
Frost & Sullivan's recent analysis, , provides insights into additional tariffs under recent trade wars and trade war scenarios. It analyzes the impact of trade wars on the economy and industry, recommends mitigation strategies, and examines growth opportunities. Businesses can leverage this research to gain more clarity on the trade wars outlook and refine their strategic planning capabilities.
" appears to have emerged as a winner in this context, with businesses increasingly looking at moving production outside of China ," noted Thomas. "In terms of impact per industry, the automotive sector came under pressure in 2018 on account of additional tariffs imposed by China and the US on each other's automotive imports, as well as higher US tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. The threat of as much as 25 percent US tariffs on car and parts imports from the rest of the world remains."
Companies specializing in and could experience gains as businesses look to cut production costs and offset import tariff hikes. Industries like also will gain from greater stockpiling in anticipation of new tariffs.
The four likely trade war scenarios for 2019 are:
At present, conclusion appears an unlikely scenario.
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