Maintenance of Future Driverless Mobility Fleets through Prognostics and OTA Updates Will Save Ridesharing Providers US$3.9 Billion in 2028
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OEMs have made important strides to prepare for their transition to mobility providers. The recent string of acquisitions by Daimler A.G. to expand its myTaxi application or the recent announcement by General Motors to upgrade its existing production facilities to produce Robo-Taxis is evidence of this. However, most other OEMs, aside from the Toyota e-Palette platform, seem to be oblivious to the need of effective fleet management and preventive maintenance services to ensure the profitability of these services. Meanwhile, the current ridesharing service providers—Uber, Lyft, etc.—that are deemed by many commentators to be the principals of the future mobility market, have no experience of vehicle ownership or maintenance of large fleets of vehicles. Preventative maintenance solutions found outside of the automotive market, such as that from preventative maintenance provider, Predii and defense prognostic service provider, The Ridgetop Group, may therefore have an important new application in the automotive market. These solutions will not only help enable effective preventative maintenance but will also help detect safety-critical faults in sensors such as LiDAR before failure of the device, which may be crucial for functional safety and fail-safe operation.
Meanwhile, the development of Over-The-Air updates for effective software management is finally starting to gain some traction in consumer vehicle applications. OEMs have realized that these solutions will significantly help reduce the cost of software related recalls that currently cost OEMs over US$17.3 billion globally per year. Function-on-demand OTA, as seen in current Tesla models, will also help generate significant additional revenue opportunities for OEMs, over US$2.5 billion in 2028. Solutions from Airbiquity, HERE, Movimento, and Wind River are due to hit the market over the course of 2018 to 2020.
These findings are from ABI Research's Smart Mobility Maintenance: Modular Hardware, OTA Updates, And Prognostics report. This report is part of the company's Smart Mobility & Automotive research service, which includes research, data, and Executive Foresights.
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