Half of energy will come from solar by 2035: ground-breaking climate modeling tool challenges previous energy projections

"On current growth trends, solar is on track to displace 50% of traditional energy supply within a decade—this should scare you if you're still financing coal, oil or gas," says Birch, who has started some of the leading global solar companies over the last 20 years. "On current growth trends, solar is on track to displace 50% of traditional energy supply within a decade—this should scare you if you're still financing coal, oil or gas,"says Birch, who has started some of the leading global...

LONDON, 14/01/2025 (informazione.news - comunicati stampa - ambiente)

says Birch, who has started some of the leading global solar companies over the last 20 years.

Birch is challenging decades of inaccurate solar energy forecasting, correcting a flawed equation at the heart of projections: he says the metric of primary energy is only applicable to fossil fuels, as over half of fossil fuel energy is wasted when it is burned. The S-Curve uses delivered energy as the correct metric, revealing that when we are powered by solar, the electric economy will require 60% less energy than previously cited.

And his model corrects another long-held assumption: that solar's cost reductions and growth rates are going to stop.

Birch has been collaborating with Prof Andrew Crossland CEng , Professor in Practice at Durham University Energy Institute, analyzing how solar electrification can benefit consumers in energy markets around the world.

Prof Crossland says:

The S-Curve projects forward solar's historical trends, predicting that it will continue to fall in cost by 10% a year and grow at 25% a year. This will see solar energy eclipse nuclear power this year, eclipse oil by 2031, and deliver over half the world's energy by 2035 in a classic S-curve technology shift.

Learn about the S-Curve here.
Andrew Birch's bio here.

OpenSolar is the world's leading solar design and proposal software with the mission to scale solar globally by providing installers with innovative software technology and an equally innovative business offering – the world's first entirely free-to-use design and sales platform. Over 31,000 solar installers in 150+ countries today use OpenSolar's end-to-end platform to manage and grow their businesses all in one place with class-leading solar design accuracy, interactive custom proposals, and a portfolio of fully integrated financing options, hardware ordering, and industry products & services.

Contact: Hartley Butler George, E: hartley@opensolar.com

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