TARIFF FEARS DRIVE U.S. STOCKPILING IN AUGUST, WHILE MANUFACTURING WEAKENS IN EUROPE AND ASIA: GEP SUPPLY CHAIN VOLATILITY INDEX

By contrast, Asia's index fell to a three-month low as purchasing activity weakened in China's consumer non-cyclicals sector, although the region's weakness was predominantly across Japan and Taiwan. Europe also deteriorated, with Germany's basic materials sector faltering and UK manufacturing plunging deeper into contraction. The index here (-0.90) signaled one of the steepest declines since 2024. By contrast,Asia'sindex fell to a three-month low as purchasing activity weakened inChina's...
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By contrast, Asia's index fell to a three-month low as purchasing activity weakened in China's consumer non-cyclicals sector, although the region's weakness was predominantly across Japan and Taiwan. Europe also deteriorated, with Germany's basic materials sector faltering and UK manufacturing plunging deeper into contraction. The index here (-0.90) signaled one of the steepest declines since 2024.

"So far tariffs have neither spurred growth nor triggered collapse," said Michael DuVall, GEP's global head of supply chain strategy. "Tariff uncertainty is no longer a temporary, it's a structural reality in the supply chain. Companies need to manage it by reinvesting in resilience, diversifying suppliers, and building critical capabilities like demand sensing to make faster, smarter decisions."

Interpreting the data:
Index > 0, supply chain capacity is being stretched. The further above 0, the more stretched supply chains are.
Index < 0, supply chain capacity is being underutilized. The further below 0, the more underutilized supply chains are.

REGIONAL HIGHTLIGHTS

Interpreting the data:
Index > 0, supply chain capacity is being stretched. The further above 0, the more stretched supply chains are.
Index < 0, supply chain capacity is being underutilized. The further below 0, the more underutilized supply chains are.

For more information, visit www.gep.com/volatility.

Note: Full historical data dating back to January 2005 is available for subscription. Please contact [email protected].

TARIFF FEARS DRIVE U.S. STOCKPILING IN AUGUST, WHILE MANUFACTURING WEAKENS IN EUROPE AND ASIA: GEP SUPPLY CHAIN VOLATILITY INDEX

The next release of the GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index will be 8 a.m. ET, Oct. 10, 2025.

About the GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index 
The GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index is produced by S&P Global and GEP. It is derived from S&P Global's PMI® surveys, sent to companies in over 40 countries, totaling around 27,000 companies. The headline figure is a weighted sum of six sub-indices derived from PMI data, PMI Comments Trackers and PMI Commodity Price & Supply Indicators compiled by S&P Global.

A Supply Chain Volatility Index is also published at a regional level for Europe, Asia, North America and the U.K. For more information about the methodology, click here.

About GEP
GEP® delivers AI-powered procurement and supply chain solutions that help global enterprises become more agile and resilient, operate more efficiently and effectively, gain competitive advantage, boost profitability and increase shareholder value. Fresh thinking, innovative products, unrivaled domain expertise, smart, passionate people — this is how GEP SOFTWARE, GEP STRATEGY and GEP MANAGED SERVICES together deliver procurement and supply chain solutions of unprecedented scale, power and effectiveness. Our customers are the world's best companies, including more than 1,000 Fortune 500 and Global 2000 industry leaders who rely on GEP to meet ambitious strategic, financial and operational goals. A leader in multiple Gartner Magic Quadrants, GEP's cloud-native software and digital business platforms consistently win awards and recognition from industry analysts, research firms and media outlets, including Gartner, Forrester, IDC, ISG, and Spend Matters. GEP is also regularly ranked a top procurement and supply chain consulting and strategy firm, and a leading managed services provider by ALM, Everest Group, NelsonHall, IDC, ISG and HFS, among others. Headquartered in Clark, New Jersey, GEP has offices and operations centers across Europe, Asia, Africa and the Americas. To learn more, visit www.gep.com.

About S&P Global
S&P Global (NYSE: SPGI) S&P Global provides essential intelligence. We enable governments, businesses and individuals with the right data, expertise and connected technology so that they can make decisions with conviction. From helping our customers assess new investments to guiding them through ESG and energy transition across supply chains, we unlock new opportunities, solve challenges and accelerate progress for the world. We are widely sought after by many of the world's leading organizations to provide credit ratings, benchmarks, analytics and workflow solutions in the global capital, commodity and automotive markets. With every one of our offerings, we help the world's leading organizations plan for tomorrow, today.

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