Istruzione e Formazione
Model indicates current novel coronavirus infections in China declining
"This pattern of decline would be hopeful, since each day there are fewer people who infect others, and the burden of taking care of sick people should decline," he says.
"However, if factors that affect the trend change or if the data on current cases is underreported, the model's indications will not be accurate."
Dr Zou is one of four researchers from universities in China who publish figures derived from the model and other related information on a website they set up for use by scientists, journalists and other researchers.
The website includes open access to data from across China on the novel coronavirus outbreak and daily statistical modeling, both for the country as a whole and for its individual provinces.
The data is both as current as possible and from authoritative sources, Dr Zou says.
"All data and information are automatically captured every 30 minutes through a background program to ensure timeliness," he says.
"The data and information sources include government websites at all levels and media such as and to ensure that information is open, transparent and traceable."
In addition to Dr Zou, other volunteers responsible for development of the website include Dr Peng Zhao and Dr Lei Han, also of XJTLU's Department of Health and Environmental Sciences, and Dr Xiaoxiang Wang from Southern University of Science and Technology.
The website is at https://ncov2020.org/ and includes a language toggle from Chinese to English.