Eesti Energia Group Unaudited Results for Q2 2025

Sales Revenues and Profitability In a challenging energy market marked by declining electricity and oil prices, Eesti Energia Group’s sales revenue in Q2 2025 totalled EUR 388 million. Group EBITDA declined to EUR 80 million, while adjusted EBITDA* reached EUR 83 million. Reported net profit for the quarter was EUR 30 million, with adjusted net profit at EUR 33 million.This quarter’s performance was mainly driven by falling shale oil and electricity prices. In fact, as of 25Q2, Baltic...

Tallinn, 31/07/2025 (informazione.news - comunicati stampa - energia)

In a challenging energy market marked by declining electricity and oil prices, Eesti Energia Group’s sales revenue in Q2 2025 totalled EUR 388 million. Group EBITDA declined to EUR 80 million, while adjusted EBITDA* reached EUR 83 million. Reported net profit for the quarter was EUR 30 million, with adjusted net profit at EUR 33 million.

This quarter’s performance was mainly driven by falling shale oil and electricity prices. In fact, as of 25Q2, Baltic energy prices have returned to pre-energy crisis levels seen before 2022. Additionally, the 24Q2 benefited from one-off CO₂-related gains, which provided an exceptional gain to financial results at that time. In contrast, 25Q2 reflects a return to normal, resulting in lower profitability compared to 24Q2. Despite this, the ‘Other’ segment—particularly frequency services—showed strong growth in both revenue and EBITDA.

*Adjusted EBITDA and adjusted net profit exclude temporary fluctuations in the fair value of long-term Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) derivatives to enable better period-to-period comparability.

Sales revenue from the renewable generation and electricity sales segment decreased by 26% year-on-year to EUR 170 million. Renewable electricity production rose by 27% to 0.6 TWh, driven by new wind farms such as the Sopi-Tootsi facility, which contributes 255 MW of additional capacity compared to the previous year. Retail electricity sales volumes, however, declined by 7% to 2.1 TWh.

Segment EBITDA dropped by 64% to EUR 13 million. The main impact came from lower sales prices (EUR –29.9 million), partly due to a 20% drop in the Nord Pool Estonia area’s average price compared to Q2 2024. Lower sales volumes (EUR –7.4 million) also weighed on performance, though partially offset by reduced electricity purchasing costs (EUR +17.8 million). Adjusted EBITDA declined by 62% (EUR –25 million).

Sales revenue from non-renewable electricity increased by 6% year-on-year to EUR 37.1 million. Generation rose by 2% to 0.3 TWh, largely due to the continued outage of the EstLink2 transmission cable, which required increased domestic generation. The cable, severely damaged in December 2024, had caused the loss of ~650 MW of transmission capacity between Estonia and Finland. It was reconnected on 20 June.

Segment EBITDA declined by EUR 18 million. This was driven by higher CO₂ costs (EUR –8.3 million), increased fixed costs (EUR –4.0 million), and lower derivative gains (EUR –5.3 million).

Despite weaker results, fossil-based generation facilities remain critical strategic assets, providing both power generation and frequency services. Notably, Estonia currently lacks a compensation mechanism for maintaining strategic reserve power services, meaning Eesti Energia has been providing this functionality at no cost. However, a new regulation effective 1 January 2026 will enable the Transmission System Operator (TSO), Elering, to procure reserves to ensure region’s energy security, creating a new revenue opportunity.

Sales revenue from the distribution segment increased by 9% to EUR 73.7 million, supported by higher tariffs and a 2% increase in distributed volumes. Network losses and planned outages declined, while unplanned outages remained stable at a low level.

Segment EBITDA grew by 35% year-on-year. The margin impact was EUR +5.1 million, driven by a higher average sales price and lower variable costs. Increased distributed volumes contributed EUR +0.8 million, while deferred maintenance led to a EUR 1.4 million reduction in fixed costs.

Sales revenue in the shale oil segment fell by 17% to EUR 43 million, mainly due to a 15% drop in sales volumes and a 20% decrease in average sales price (excluding derivatives). Including derivative gains, the average realised price was EUR 405.5/t, down just 3% year-on-year. This result reflects the effectiveness of the Group’s updated hedging strategy, which now favours financial options over swaps—providing downside protection with upside potential, especially for the commodity mainly trading in backwardation.

Shale oil production totalled 103 thousand tonnes (–7%). Segment EBITDA declined by EUR 64 million, due to the exceptional one-off benefit recorded in Q2 2024 — EUR 64.5 million in free CO₂ allowances — which did not recur this year. Excluding this, lower prices impacted EBITDA by EUR –9.6 million and lower volumes by EUR –5.7 million. On the positive side, derivative gains contributed EUR +10.0 million, highlighting the positive impact of the revised hedging strategy.

Sales revenue from other products and services nearly doubled year-on-year (+97%) to EUR 32 million, mainly due to the strong performance of frequency services. After the Baltic region desynchronized from the Russian grid, new frequency markets were established — bringing significant price volatility during the first months. Eesti Energia was well prepared, with both battery and generation assets in place, and consequently achieved strong profitability from mentioned area. Frequency services contributed EUR 27.0 million in revenue and EUR 31.3 million in EBITDA. Heat and gas revenues also grew modestly, while natural gas EBITDA declined by EUR 2.3 million. Overall, segment EBITDA rose by EUR 23 million.

Looking ahead, we expect frequency services to normalize due to new market dynamics in Baltics’ frequency markets. While frequency services remain a promising and profitable business segment, forward-looking returns are likely to be less exceptional compared to Q2 2025.

Group capital expenditure amounted to EUR 120 million in Q2 2025, down 43% year-on-year. The largest share (EUR 51.3 million) was directed toward near-completion renewable energy projects—primarily the Kelme wind farm in Lithuania (EUR 35.3 million), expected to begin production in Q4 2025. Investments in the electricity distribution network increased by 7% to EUR 40.2 million, aimed at reducing the risk of outages and making the network more resilient to various weather conditions. Investments in the Enefit-280 shale oil plant totalled EUR 13.8 million as the project entered its final construction phase.

As of 30 June 2025, Eesti Energia held EUR 619 million in liquid assets, with total available liquidity of EUR 1,019 million (including EUR 400 million in undrawn credit lines). Total debt stood at EUR 1,731 million, and net debt amounted to EUR 1,113 million, down EUR 271 million from a year earlier.

Key financing developments during the quarter included:

Management expects full-year 2025 sales revenue and EBITDA to remain broadly in line with 2024, while capital expenditure is expected to decline. The Group's strategic focus remains on finalising key projects—including new renewable energy parks and the Enefit-280-2 shale oil facility—as well as continued enhancements to the electricity distribution network.

Condensed Consolidated Interim Income Statement

Condensed Consolidated Interim Statement of Financial Position

Eesti Energia will publish its unaudited Q2 2025 results on 31 July 2025. The Q2 2025 interim report and investor presentation are available on Eesti Energia’s website. An investor call discussing the Q2 2025 financial results will take place on 31 July 2025 at 11:00 London time, 12:00 Frankfurt time, and 13:00 Tallinn time. Please register to participate. After registration, you will receive the details required to join the conference call.

Danel Freiberg
Head of Treasury and Financial Risk Management
Eesti Energia AS
Tel: +372 5594 3838
Email: danel.freiberg@energia.ee

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