Energia
EDF:SALES UP 77% org. SHARP DROP IN NUCLEAR OUTPUT IN FRANCE IN A VERY HIGH MARKET PRICE ENVIRONMENT DRAFT DOCUMENT RELATING TO THE SIMPLIFIED TENDER OFFER FILED BY THE FRENCH STATE WITH THE AMF
FINANCIAL INFORMATION AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2022
SALES UP 7 7 % org.
SHARP DROP IN NUCLEAR OUTPUT IN FRANCE
IN A VERY HIGH MARKET PRICE ENVIRONMENT
DRAFT DOCUMENT RELATING TO THE
SIMPLIFIED TENDER OFFER
FILED BY THE FRENCH STATE WITH THE AMF
Change in EDF Group sales
Group sales were up sharply compared with the first nine months of 2021. They were supported by the strong rise in prices on all wholesale markets on sales prices as well as in the resale of purchase obligations in France. Trading activities also benefited from the high volatility of commodity prices.
O perational performance
Nuclear output in France stood at 209.2TWh during the first 9 months, 59TWh lower than at the same period in 2021. This decrease can be explained by the lower availability of the nuclear fleet, mainly due to investigations and repairs carried out on the reactor circuits following the discovery of stress corrosion indications, despite fewer unplanned outages and the optimisation of the generation schedule.
Based on the estimated nuclear output in France for 2022 at the lower end of the 280-300TWh range and the 2022 forward prices on 7 October 2022, the estimated impact of the decline of nuclear output on 2022 EBITDA is reassessed at around -32 billion euros . The Group experienced social movements in France in October, their impact being assessed.
Hydraulic generation in France amounted to 24.9TWh . The 8.6TWh decline compared to 2021 is explained by historically low hydropower conditions.
In the United Kingdom, nuclear output amounted to 33.2TWh, up by 2.7TWh compared to 2021 (despite the closure of Hunterston B in January and Hinkley Point B in August), due to a good availability of the fleet and a less busy maintenance program than in 2021.
The Group's renewable output (excluding hydropower) amounted to 18TWh, representing an increase of 2.8TWh compared to the same period in 2021. This development is explained by the commissioning of new capacity in 2021 and during the first nine months of the year for 1.4GW gross. At the end of September, the Group had 13.2GW of net installed renewable capacity and 7.5GW gross under construction (excluding hydropower).
In Belgium, wind development continued with a net installed capacity of 603MW at end-September 2022.
The carbon intensity amounted to 50gCO /kWh, i.e., +3gCO /kWh compared to September 2021, due to the decrease in nuclear and hydraulic output.
Change in Group revenue by segment
France – Generation and supply activities
The growth in sales was mainly due to favourable price effects:
Sales also raised by an estimated €0.6 billion due to the supply of additional ARENH volumes, at €46.2/MWh, defined by the March 2022 decree detailing the regulatory measures to limit price increases in 2022.
In the first nine months of 2022, the Group was in a net buying position due to lower nuclear and hydropower generation, in contrast to the same period in 2021 when it was a net seller. The impact in Group sales was estimated at -€1 billion.
France – Regulated activities
Sales growth was mainly due to positive price effects, particularly in connection with the indexation of TURPE 6 on 1 August 2021 and 1 August 2022. These effects were partially offset by a decrease in volumes distributed due to milder weather in 2022.
Renewable Energies
EDF Renewables
The increase in sales was mainly due to higher generation, especially in Europe and North America as a result of new commissioning, favourable wind conditions and higher prices, in particular in the United Kingdom.
Group Renewables excluding hydropower output in France
The rise in sales was mainly attributable to the 18.4% increase in generation thanks to commissioning in 2021 and 2022. A positive price effect in Italy and the United Kingdom also contributed to this growth.
Energy Services
Dalkia
The growth in sales was due mainly to a sharp increase in energy prices. Commercial activity in the United Kingdom also contributed to this rise.
Group Energy Services
The increase in sales was mainly due to higher gas prices, which had a very limited impact in EBITDA, particularly for Dalkia and Edison.
Framatome
The increase in sales is attributable in particular to a growing sales volume for the Installed Base activity in North America.
This trend was limited by deliveries of certain types of fuel assemblies in 2021 without equivalent in 2022.
United Kingdom
The growth in sales was mainly due to higher electricity and gas prices. However, the price increase was not fully passed on to regulated tariffs for residential customers (+54% at 1 April).
In addition, the rise in nuclear output led to the sale of additional volumes in a context of high prices.
The takeover of the Utility Point and Zog portfolios in 2021 under the suppliers of last resort (SoLR) mechanism contributed to the growing number of customers at the end of September 2022.
Italy
The strong rise in gas prices accounted for most of the increase in sales in the gas activities. However, the impact in EBITDA was limited. This trend is also explained by an increase in volumes sold.
The growth in sales of electricity activities was also linked to the very sharp increase in market prices, with a limited impact in EBITDA.
Other international
In Belgium , sales grew as a result of higher electricity and gas prices in all segments, reflecting the rise in wholesale markets.
In Brazil, the increase in sales was attributable mainly to the revaluation in November 2021 of 17.6% of the Power Purchase Agreement price linked to the EDF Norte Fluminense plant. During the first nine months, the currency effect was favourable (appreciation of the Brazilian Real against the Euro).
Other activities
The evolution of sales of gas activities was explained by a sharp increase in wholesale gas market prices and by the rise in volumes sold thanks to the significant activity of the Dunkirk LNG terminal. However, these effects had a limited impact in EBITDA.
EDF Trading's sales continued to benefit from the performance of activities in Europe and the United States, against a backdrop of very high volatility in all commodity markets.
Main events
after the release of 202 2 half-year results
Governance
Renewables
EDF Energy
Edison
Framatome
Other
(1) Since 2018, customers are counted according to delivery site; one customer can have two delivery points: one for electricity and one for gas.
(2) Including ES (Électricité de Strasbourg).
This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to sell or buy instruments, part of the company or the assets described here, in the US or any other country.
This presentation contains forward-looking statements or information. While EDF believes that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions at the time they were made, these assumptions are fundamentally uncertain and imply a certain amount of risk and uncertainty which is beyond the control of EDF. As a result, EDF cannot guarantee that these assumptions will
materialise . Future events and actual financial and other outcomes may differ materially from the assumptions used in these forward-looking statements, including, and not limited to, potential timing differences and the completion of transactions described therein.
Risks and uncertainties (notably linked to the economic, financial, competition, regulatory and climate backdrop) may include changes in economic and business trends, regulations, as well as those described or identified in the publicly-available documents filed by EDF with the French financial markets authority (AMF), including those presented in Section 2.2 “Risks to which the Group is exposed” of the EDF Universal Registration Document (URD) filed with the AMF on 17 March 2022 (under number D.22-0110), which may be consulted on the AMF website at www.amf-france.org or on the EDF website at
www.edf.fr , as well as the half-yearly financial report at 30 June 2022 available on the EDF website .
The quarterly financial information is not subject to an auditor's report.
EDF does not undertake nor does it have any obligation to update forward-looking information contained in this presentation to reflect any unexpected events or circumstances arising after the date of this presentation.
This press release is certified. Check its authenticity on medias.edf.com
1 Organic change at comparable scope, accounting standards and exchange rates.
( 2 ) See press release on 15 S eptember 2022 with an estimated impact of -€29 b n
( 3 ) Hydropower, excluding island activities before deduction of pumped volumes. Total cumulated hydropower excluding pumped volumes represented 19. 8 TWh during the first 9 months of 2022 (29.7TWh during the first 9 months of 2021).
( 4 ) Net capacity at Luminus scope
( 5 ) Breakdown of revenue across the segments before inter-segment eliminations.
( 6 ) Regulated activities including Enedis, ÉS and French island activities.
( 7 ) Indexed adjustment of TURPE 6 distribution tariff of +0.91%
on 1 August 2021 and +2.26%
on 1 August 2022.
( 8 ) Breakdown of revenue across the segments before inter-segment eliminations.
( 9 ) Breakdown of revenue across the segments before inter-segment eliminations.
( 10 ) Group E nergy Services include Dalkia , Citelum ,
IZI Confort , IZI Solution , Sowee ,
Izivia and the service activities of EDF Energy, Edison, Luminus and EDF SA. They consist
in particular of street lighting, heating networks, decentralised low-carbon generation based on local resources, energy consumption management and electric mobility.
( 11 ) Breakdown of revenue across the segments before inter-segment eliminations.
( 12 ) Breakdown of revenue across the segments before inter-segment eliminations.
( 13 ) Luminus and EDF Belgium .
( 14 ) The full list of press releases is available on our website: www.edf.fr
( 15 ) The full list of press releases is available on our website: www.edf-renouvelables.com
( 16 ) The full list of press releases is available on our website:
www.edfenergy.com
( 17 ) The full list of press releases is available on our website: www.edison.it
( 18 ) The full list of press releases is available on our website: www.framatome.com
( 1 ) Organic change at comparable scope,
standards and exchange rates.
( 2 ) See pre s s release on 15 September.
On the basis of the scope and exchange rates at 1 January 2022. In a constant regulatory environment (ARENH ceiling at 100TWh), with a 2023 forward price assumption on 13
September 2022, and taking into account 2022 and 2023 French nuclear output estimates as given in the press release of 18 May 2022.
( 3 ) At constant S&P methodology .
Attachment
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