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New Business Models and Subsidies Power Growth in the Global Electric Commercial Trucks Market
"With battery prices declining by nearly 80 percent during 2010-2017, ( ) are pulling ahead of hybrids as the preferred among market majors ( , , ) as well as startups ( , , )," said Chandramowli Kailasam, Program Manager, . " and with are expected to gain traction among ( ) and ( ) trucks, respectively, as North American and European eTruck OEMs look to reduce their dependence on highly expensive rare-earth metals that goes into making permanent magnet motors. However, Chinese OEMs benefit from easy access to these rare-earth metals, at a much cheaper price, and, hence, are predominantly using permanent magnet motors."
Frost & Sullivan's recent analysis, , provides an overview of the key trends in MD commercial vehicles ranging between 6.1 tonnes and 16 tonnes, and HD commercial vehicles in the above 16 tonnes segment. It covers the various factors driving the adoption of eTrucks and the top challenges from 2016 to 2025.
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"As the time taken for the refuelling of eTrucks will have to be comparable with the time taken to fill diesel, we will see huge demand for in the short term, and with Tesla Semi's commercial launch in 2019, Mega Chargers with 1MW charging capacity will help shorten the charging time drastically. However, fleets and drivers will still aspire for a charging time on par with the diesel refueling time," noted Darwin Sebastin , Senior Research Analyst, Mobility. "There will also be higher OEM investment in and drivetrains. , in particular, will start gaining market shares post 2020 due to their higher energy density and light weight, which makes them ideal for long haul trucks."
In addition to the advances in battery chemistries, the emergence of an and demonstrable shrinking are expected to raise the global unit shipment of MD and HD eTrucks to 250,000 units by 2025. There will be further growth opportunities in:
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